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In 2012, will the building price make reprisals sex rebound
In the real estate realm, became three poles to the attitude of the 2012 real estate trend marvellous geography:
1.The expert sings empty, widespreadly anticipate a declining, with Wang Xiao Guang of'13 year, the real estate bull market turns a bear market'of talk point for period;
2.The building Qi sings much and develops a company to believe firmly to turn warm;
3.The one who draw up to buy building sings'paste', they band together to when copy bottom, since worry to buy now, also fall(they are at doubt, expert and medium not is say that the building price wants to fall 50%?);Now doesn't buy, and then worries 2012 building price revenge rebound(the gentleman disappear a subprime mortgage crisis after the building of 2009 costlinesses sky?).
On this residence exposition in Shenzhen, the great majority Cincinnati Reds Hats develops a company although to Chinese economic situation in the future contain enough vigilance,still keep being full of confidence to 2012, they think June, 2012, real estate market meeting live to measure price to together fall of Tui power, get into to turn warm passage, will be warmer at the end of the year at the latest.The road strength radicle sets up board director chairman Ju list the Wei leopard say:'The market will turn warm completely in June, next year, and is also a best opportune moment that copies bottom to take ground now.Adjust to control but talk for the real estate, if the development company insists not to live, so the local government may insist more not to live.The economic data that releases recently expresses that the our country economy faces a very big bottom to go pressure, now our important problem for facing is to avoid economic of rapid fall, be like limit to buy to make thus of have the Bei market the policy of the regulation can't definitely hold out for long time.'Obviously, this is representative's speech of building Qi.Even if the building Qi,such as deep-sea real estate, Long Hu's real estate and Lai, being pessimism receives international etc. to also think to adjust to control to end by the end of 2012.

Take what does the reason that the real estate turns warm?
Is comprehensive to come to see, prepare to judge the reason that the real estate turns warm in 2012 to have three:
A, the place public finance is hard up for cash to make real estate adjust to control a policy to terminate or the recessiveness terminate.The dependence of bigger parts of place public finance in the cities to real estate reaches to 50% currently even higher(concept data), but this year's land bargain fall 40% even higher(concept data), mean local government public finance the income atrophies huge, but the local government expenditure want to be abrupt however the reduction isn't easy, this certainly includes in great quantities already at set up of infrastructure.The real estate industry slides too quickly at the same time, the consumption need of the housing connection profession sharply atrophies, result in big scope of the company is bankrupt, retrenchment, the economy sinks into stagnation.Because the public finance pressure will force the local government adjusts to control a policy to the real estate'drive'terminate.
Two, suppress need concentration to release to cause the amount of price hand over with each other north bound.Because the policy is loose to move, the depressive sex need GUCCI Hats concentration in 2011 releases and causes need short date's inflating, building price revenge rebound.Ye Tan thinks that the building price declines 50% is very terrible, because that means that the real economy collapses and congelation in the reputation market.Don't say that the building price together compares to descend 30%, which afraid is decline 20%, include an inflation factor at inside, mean that the building price declines above 25%.Till then, the IMF chief executive officer pulls to add virtuous appeal of relax adjusting of real estate to control and then will become really, till then, perhaps we wait come of isn't a real estate to continue to adjust to control, but the government again relax real estate to adjust to control, the building price welcomes to make reprisals sex rebound.
Three, world under the financial crisis of Chinese solution.The world is even, the conduction of world economic crises, such as Europe debt crisis and beautiful debt crisis...etc., forcing China have to afresh the fiesta rise real estate this noodles the big ensign increases by promising Chinese economy speed to carry out above 8%.

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